How the predictions are made

Every ScooreCast prediction comes from one model, run the same way across every competition on the site. Nothing is hand-picked, nothing is bought in, and nothing is edited once a match has kicked off. Every tip it has ever published, won and lost alike, is on the record.

Inputs

What counts on the record

What happens at kick-off

The tip is written once, before kick-off, and is never regenerated after the whistle. Live scores keep moving. The pick does not. After full time it is marked won or lost, and the losses stay on the public record next to the wins. A percentage is shown only after enough tips have been graded. One won tip is never shown as 100%.

What a competition page measures

Where the archive holds enough finished matches, the competition page states that league’s own base rates: goals per game, how often there are three or more, how often both teams score, and how the results split between home, draw and away. The figures are computed from matches already played. They are not written by hand, and they are not a forecast of the next one. A competition below that sample says nothing rather than quoting a rate off a handful of games.

What this is not

ScooreCast is a statistical model published for entertainment. It is not betting advice, it is not affiliated with any bookmaker, and past accuracy does not predict the next match.


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