Liga AUF Uruguaya, Estadio Campeón del Siglo. Kick-off Sat 10 Oct, 21:30 UTC.
Peñarol vs Progreso (Liga AUF Uruguaya). Form: Peñarol WDWWW, Progreso LWWLW. The model leans Peñarol at 78-15-7 with Over 2.5 and BTTS No. Confidence 5/5. This is a probability, not a guarantee. Across 702 archived Liga AUF Uruguaya matches the average is 2.3 goals a game, 42% finish with three or more, and the home side wins 41.3% of the time. The model gives Peñarol a 78% chance. Home sides in Liga AUF Uruguaya win 41.3% of archived matches.
Pick: Home win at 1.29, confidence 5/5.
Expected goals 2.43 - 0.61 from the fitted Liga AUF Uruguaya model. Board pick home win at 78%. Goals lean Over 2.5.
Latest published prices from DraftKings, with the bookmaker margin removed so the percentages are a fair implied probability.
Indicative prices for comparison, not an offer to bet. ScooreCast is not affiliated with any bookmaker and takes no wagers.
Full Peñarol vs Progreso head-to-head record
Peñarol fixtures and predictions — form WDWWW
Progreso fixtures and predictions — form LWWLW
How this prediction was made · Public accuracy record
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