UEFA Champions League, Stadio Diego Armando Maradona. 0 - 1 full time.
Napoli 0-1 Arsenal in the UEFA Champions League: Arsenal won. 1 goal, so Under 2.5. One side failed to score. ScooreCast published Away win at 1.80 before kick-off; that tip won. Across 396 archived UEFA Champions League matches the average is 3.4 goals a game, 65.4% finish with three or more, and the home side wins 51% of the time. The model gives Arsenal a 59% chance. Away sides in UEFA Champions League win 33.3% of archived matches.
Pick: Away win at 1.80, confidence 4/5.
Expected goals 0.31 - 2.30 from the fitted UEFA Champions League model. Board pick away win at 59%. Goals lean Under 2.5.
Closing prices, as published before kick-off from DraftKings, with the bookmaker margin removed so the percentages are a fair implied probability.
Indicative prices for comparison, not an offer to bet. ScooreCast is not affiliated with any bookmaker and takes no wagers.
Napoli fixtures and predictions — form LLWWW
Arsenal fixtures and predictions — form WWWWW
How this prediction was made · Public accuracy record
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