UEFA Champions League, Emirates Stadium. Kick-off Tue 13 Oct, 19:00 UTC.
Arsenal vs Lille (UEFA Champions League). Form: Arsenal LWWWW, Lille LWLWD. The model leans Arsenal at 74-17-9 with Over 2.5 and BTTS No. Confidence 5/5. This is a probability, not a guarantee. Across 396 archived UEFA Champions League matches the average is 3.4 goals a game, 65.4% finish with three or more, and the home side wins 51% of the time. The model gives Arsenal a 74% chance. Home sides in UEFA Champions League win 51% of archived matches.
Pick: Home win at 1.26, confidence 5/5.
Expected goals 1.87 - 0.48 from the fitted UEFA Champions League model. Board pick home win at 74%. Goals lean Over 2.5.
Latest published prices from DraftKings, with the bookmaker margin removed so the percentages are a fair implied probability.
Indicative prices for comparison, not an offer to bet. ScooreCast is not affiliated with any bookmaker and takes no wagers.
Arsenal fixtures and predictions — form LWWWW
Lille fixtures and predictions — form LWLWD
How this prediction was made · Public accuracy record
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