AFC Champions League Elite, Thani bin Jassim Stadium. Kick-off Mon 12 Oct, 18:15 UTC.
AL GHARAFA AL GHARAFA vs Esteghlal (AFC Champions League Elite). Form: ALGHARAFA LLLWL, Esteghlal WLLWD. The model leans Esteghlal at 22-30-48 with Under 2.5 and BTTS No. Confidence 3/5. This is a probability, not a guarantee. Across 254 archived AFC Champions League Elite matches the average is 2.8 goals a game, 52.8% finish with three or more, and the home side wins 50.4% of the time.
Pick: Away win at 2.09, confidence 3/5.
Expected goals 0.87 - 1.40 from the fitted AFC Champions League Elite model. Lean away win at 48% — too close to grade as a 1X2 tip. Goals lean Under 2.5.
Latest published prices from DraftKings, with the bookmaker margin removed so the percentages are a fair implied probability.
Indicative prices for comparison, not an offer to bet. ScooreCast is not affiliated with any bookmaker and takes no wagers.
Full ALGHARAFA vs Esteghlal head-to-head record
AL GHARAFA AL GHARAFA fixtures and predictions — form LLLWL
Esteghlal fixtures and predictions — form WLLWD
How this prediction was made · Public accuracy record
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