Primera División, Estadio Tigo La Huerta. 1 - 1 full time.
Libertad 1-1 Sportivo Ameliano in the Primera División: it finished level. 2 goals, so Under 2.5. Both teams scored. Across 606 archived Primera División matches the average is 2.3 goals a game, 41.6% finish with three or more, and the home side wins 38.9% of the time.
Pick: Home win at 2.12, confidence 3/5.
Expected goals 1.43 - 0.92 from the fitted Primera División model. Lean home win at 47% — too close to grade as a 1X2 tip. Goals lean Under 2.5.
Closing prices, as published before kick-off from DraftKings, with the bookmaker margin removed so the percentages are a fair implied probability.
Indicative prices for comparison, not an offer to bet. ScooreCast is not affiliated with any bookmaker and takes no wagers.
Full Libertad vs Ameliano head-to-head record
Libertad fixtures and predictions — form WLDWW
Sportivo Ameliano fixtures and predictions — form DDDWW
How this prediction was made · Public accuracy record
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