Primera División. Kick-off Mon 12 Oct, 20:00 UTC.
2 de Mayo vs Sportivo Ameliano (Primera División). Form: 2 de Mayo WDLLW, Ameliano DDDWW. The model leans 2 de Mayo at 34-33-33 with Under 2.5 and BTTS No. Confidence 2/5. This is a probability, not a guarantee. Across 606 archived Primera División matches the average is 2.3 goals a game, 41.6% finish with three or more, and the home side wins 38.9% of the time.
Pick: Home win at 2.95, confidence 2/5.
Expected goals 1.06 - 1.04 from the fitted Primera División model. Lean home win at 34% — too close to grade as a 1X2 tip. Goals lean Under 2.5.
Full 2 de Mayo vs Ameliano head-to-head record
2 de Mayo fixtures and predictions — form WDLLW
Sportivo Ameliano fixtures and predictions — form DDDWW
How this prediction was made · Public accuracy record
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