Liga 1, Estadio Alberto Gallardo. 3 - 1 full time.
Sporting Cristal 3-1 Atlético Grau in the Liga 1: Sporting Cristal won. 4 goals, so Over 2.5. Both teams scored. ScooreCast published Home win at 1.68 before kick-off; that tip won. Across 743 archived Liga 1 matches the average is 2.6 goals a game, 50.5% finish with three or more, and the home side wins 49.7% of the time. The model gives Sporting Cristal a 60% chance. Home sides in Liga 1 win 49.7% of archived matches.
Pick: Home win at 1.68, confidence 4/5.
Expected goals 1.71 - 0.76 from the fitted Liga 1 model. Board pick home win at 60%. Goals lean Under 2.5.
Closing prices, as published before kick-off from DraftKings, with the bookmaker margin removed so the percentages are a fair implied probability.
Indicative prices for comparison, not an offer to bet. ScooreCast is not affiliated with any bookmaker and takes no wagers.
Full Sporting Cristal vs Atlético Grau head-to-head record
Sporting Cristal fixtures and predictions — form WWWLL
Atlético Grau fixtures and predictions — form DLWLW
How this prediction was made · Public accuracy record
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