Primeira Liga, Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca. 1 - 0 full time.
Alverca 1-0 Rio Ave in the Primeira Liga: Alverca won. 1 goal, so Under 2.5. One side failed to score. Across 675 archived Primeira Liga matches the average is 2.6 goals a game, 51.7% finish with three or more, and the home side wins 41.8% of the time.
Pick: Home win at 2.11, confidence 3/5.
Expected goals 1.48 - 1.05 from the fitted Primeira Liga model. Lean home win at 47% — too close to grade as a 1X2 tip. Goals lean Under 2.5.
Closing prices, as published before kick-off from DraftKings, with the bookmaker margin removed so the percentages are a fair implied probability.
Indicative prices for comparison, not an offer to bet. ScooreCast is not affiliated with any bookmaker and takes no wagers.
Full Alverca vs Rio Ave head-to-head record
Alverca fixtures and predictions — form WWLDL
Rio Ave fixtures and predictions — form LDLLW
How this prediction was made · Public accuracy record
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