Primeira Liga, Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior. Kick-off Sat 10 Oct, 19:30 UTC.
Casa Pia vs Santa Clara (Primeira Liga). Form: Casa Pia WLDLL, Santa Clara DWWDW. The model leans Santa Clara at 22-29-48 with Under 2.5 and BTTS No. Confidence 3/5. This is a probability, not a guarantee. Across 675 archived Primeira Liga matches the average is 2.6 goals a game, 51.7% finish with three or more, and the home side wins 41.8% of the time. The model gives Santa Clara a 48% chance. Away sides in Primeira Liga win 31.5% of archived matches.
Pick: Away win at 1.91, confidence 3/5.
Expected goals 0.76 - 1.21 from the fitted Primeira Liga model. Board pick away win at 48%. Goals lean Under 2.5.
Latest published prices from DraftKings, with the bookmaker margin removed so the percentages are a fair implied probability.
Indicative prices for comparison, not an offer to bet. ScooreCast is not affiliated with any bookmaker and takes no wagers.
Full Casa Pia vs Santa Clara head-to-head record
Casa Pia fixtures and predictions — form WLDLL
Santa Clara fixtures and predictions — form DWWDW
How this prediction was made · Public accuracy record
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