Premier League, Stamford Bridge. Kick-off Sat 10 Oct, 14:00 UTC.
Chelsea vs AFC Bournemouth (Premier League). Form: Chelsea LDWLW, Bournemouth LWDWD. The model leans Chelsea at 52-24-24 with Over 2.5 and BTTS Yes. Confidence 4/5. This is a probability, not a guarantee. Across 810 archived Premier League matches the average is 2.8 goals a game, 55.6% finish with three or more, and the home side wins 41.4% of the time. The model gives Chelsea a 52% chance. Home sides in Premier League win 41.4% of archived matches.
Pick: Home win at 1.71, confidence 4/5.
Expected goals 1.65 - 1.40 from the fitted Premier League model. Board pick home win at 52%. Goals lean Over 2.5, both teams to score.
Latest published prices from DraftKings, with the bookmaker margin removed so the percentages are a fair implied probability.
Indicative prices for comparison, not an offer to bet. ScooreCast is not affiliated with any bookmaker and takes no wagers.
Full Chelsea vs Bournemouth head-to-head record
Chelsea fixtures and predictions — form LDWLW
AFC Bournemouth fixtures and predictions — form LWDWD
How this prediction was made · Public accuracy record
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