Primera A, Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín. 1 - 0 full time.
Independiente Santa Fe 1-0 Deportes Tolima in the Primera A: Independiente Santa Fe won. 1 goal, so Under 2.5. One side failed to score. Across 989 archived Primera A matches the average is 2.4 goals a game, 43.6% finish with three or more, and the home side wins 46% of the time.
Pick: Home win at 2.49, confidence 3/5.
Expected goals 1.16 - 0.90 from the fitted Primera A model. Lean home win at 40% — too close to grade as a 1X2 tip. Goals lean Under 2.5.
Closing prices, as published before kick-off from DraftKings, with the bookmaker margin removed so the percentages are a fair implied probability.
Indicative prices for comparison, not an offer to bet. ScooreCast is not affiliated with any bookmaker and takes no wagers.
Full Santa Fe vs Tolima head-to-head record
Independiente Santa Fe fixtures and predictions — form WWDLW
Deportes Tolima fixtures and predictions — form DDDDL
How this prediction was made · Public accuracy record
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