Primera A, Estadio Jaraguay (Municipal de Montería). 1 - 2 full time.
Jaguares de Córdoba 1-2 Alianza FC in the Primera A: Alianza FC won. 3 goals, so Over 2.5. Both teams scored. Across 989 archived Primera A matches the average is 2.4 goals a game, 43.6% finish with three or more, and the home side wins 46% of the time.
Pick: Home win at 2.56, confidence 3/5.
Expected goals 1.18 - 0.97 from the fitted Primera A model. Lean home win at 39% — too close to grade as a 1X2 tip. Goals lean Under 2.5.
Closing prices, as published before kick-off from DraftKings, with the bookmaker margin removed so the percentages are a fair implied probability.
Indicative prices for comparison, not an offer to bet. ScooreCast is not affiliated with any bookmaker and takes no wagers.
Full Jaguares vs Alianza FC head-to-head record
Jaguares de Córdoba fixtures and predictions — form DLDDD
Alianza FC fixtures and predictions — form DLWWL
How this prediction was made · Public accuracy record
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