Liga MX, Estadio Victoria. 2 - 4 full time.
Necaxa 2-4 América in the Liga MX: América won. 6 goals, so Over 2.5. Both teams scored. ScooreCast published Away win at 2.08 before kick-off; that tip won. Across 765 archived Liga MX matches the average is 2.8 goals a game, 54.9% finish with three or more, and the home side wins 47.2% of the time. The model gives América a 48% chance. Away sides in Liga MX win 28.5% of archived matches.
Pick: Away win at 2.08, confidence 3/5.
Expected goals 1.10 - 1.60 from the fitted Liga MX model. Board pick away win at 48%. Goals lean Over 2.5, both teams to score.
Closing prices, as published before kick-off from DraftKings, with the bookmaker margin removed so the percentages are a fair implied probability.
Indicative prices for comparison, not an offer to bet. ScooreCast is not affiliated with any bookmaker and takes no wagers.
Full Necaxa vs América head-to-head record
Necaxa fixtures and predictions — form LLLDL
América fixtures and predictions — form WDLLL
How this prediction was made · Public accuracy record
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