Liga MX, Estadio Cuauhtémoc. Kick-off Sat 10 Oct, 01:00 UTC.
Puebla vs León (Liga MX). Form: Puebla LDLWL, León WDWLW. The model leans Puebla at 36-29-35 with Under 2.5 and BTTS Yes. Confidence 2/5. This is a probability, not a guarantee. Across 765 archived Liga MX matches the average is 2.8 goals a game, 54.9% finish with three or more, and the home side wins 47.2% of the time.
Pick: Home win at 2.80, confidence 2/5.
Expected goals 1.22 - 1.21 from the fitted Liga MX model. Lean home win at 36% — too close to grade as a 1X2 tip. Goals lean Under 2.5, both teams to score.
Latest published prices from DraftKings, with the bookmaker margin removed so the percentages are a fair implied probability.
Indicative prices for comparison, not an offer to bet. ScooreCast is not affiliated with any bookmaker and takes no wagers.
Full Puebla vs León head-to-head record
Puebla fixtures and predictions — form LDLWL
León fixtures and predictions — form WDWLW
How this prediction was made · Public accuracy record
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