Liga MX, Estadio Olímpico Universitario. Kick-off Mon 12 Oct, 01:15 UTC.
Pumas UNAM vs Cruz Azul (Liga MX). Form: UNAM LDLWL, Cruz Azul DLLWW. The model leans Cruz Azul at 30-26-43 with Over 2.5 and BTTS Yes. Confidence 3/5. This is a probability, not a guarantee. Across 765 archived Liga MX matches the average is 2.8 goals a game, 54.9% finish with three or more, and the home side wins 47.2% of the time.
Pick: Away win at 2.05, confidence 3/5.
Expected goals 1.46 - 1.45 from the fitted Liga MX model. Lean away win at 43% — too close to grade as a 1X2 tip. Goals lean Over 2.5, both teams to score.
Latest published prices from DraftKings, with the bookmaker margin removed so the percentages are a fair implied probability.
Indicative prices for comparison, not an offer to bet. ScooreCast is not affiliated with any bookmaker and takes no wagers.
Full UNAM vs Cruz Azul head-to-head record
Pumas UNAM fixtures and predictions — form LDLWL
Cruz Azul fixtures and predictions — form DLLWW
How this prediction was made · Public accuracy record
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