Ligue 1, Stade de l'Aube. Kick-off Sun 11 Oct, 18:45 UTC.
Troyes vs Marseille (Ligue 1). Form: Troyes LLLWD, Marseille LLLLL. The model leans Marseille at 22-23-56 with Over 2.5 and BTTS Yes. Confidence 4/5. This is a probability, not a guarantee. Across 657 archived Ligue 1 matches the average is 2.9 goals a game, 54.5% finish with three or more, and the home side wins 46% of the time. The model gives Marseille a 56% chance. Away sides in Ligue 1 win 31.2% of archived matches.
Pick: Away win at 1.87, confidence 4/5.
Expected goals 0.96 - 2.67 from the fitted Ligue 1 model. Board pick away win at 56%. Goals lean Over 2.5, both teams to score.
Latest published prices from DraftKings, with the bookmaker margin removed so the percentages are a fair implied probability.
Indicative prices for comparison, not an offer to bet. ScooreCast is not affiliated with any bookmaker and takes no wagers.
Troyes fixtures and predictions — form LLLWD
Marseille fixtures and predictions — form LLLLL
How this prediction was made · Public accuracy record
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