Eredivisie, Stadion Galgenwaard. Kick-off Sun 11 Oct, 10:15 UTC.
FC Utrecht vs Willem II (Eredivisie). Form: FC Utrecht LWDLD, Willem II LLDLD. The model leans FC Utrecht at 65-20-15 with Over 2.5 and BTTS Yes. Confidence 4/5. This is a probability, not a guarantee. Across 681 archived Eredivisie matches the average is 3.2 goals a game, 60.2% finish with three or more, and the home side wins 43.9% of the time. The model gives FC Utrecht a 65% chance. Home sides in Eredivisie win 43.9% of archived matches.
Pick: Home win at 1.48, confidence 4/5.
Expected goals 2.48 - 0.83 from the fitted Eredivisie model. Board pick home win at 65%. Goals lean Over 2.5, both teams to score.
Latest published prices from DraftKings, with the bookmaker margin removed so the percentages are a fair implied probability.
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Full FC Utrecht vs Willem II head-to-head record
FC Utrecht fixtures and predictions — form LWDLD
Willem II fixtures and predictions — form LLDLD
How this prediction was made · Public accuracy record
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