Serie A, New Balance Arena. 1 - 2 full time.
Atalanta 1-2 Cagliari in the Serie A: Cagliari won. 3 goals, so Over 2.5. Both teams scored. ScooreCast published Home win at 1.53 before kick-off; that tip lost. Across 810 archived Serie A matches the average is 2.5 goals a game, 47.4% finish with three or more, and the home side wins 39.6% of the time. The model gives Atalanta a 60% chance. Home sides in Serie A win 39.6% of archived matches.
Pick: Home win at 1.53, confidence 4/5.
Expected goals 1.74 - 0.77 from the fitted Serie A model. Board pick home win at 60%. Goals lean Under 2.5.
Closing prices, as published before kick-off from DraftKings, with the bookmaker margin removed so the percentages are a fair implied probability.
Indicative prices for comparison, not an offer to bet. ScooreCast is not affiliated with any bookmaker and takes no wagers.
Full Atalanta vs Cagliari head-to-head record
Atalanta fixtures and predictions — form DLWWW
Cagliari fixtures and predictions — form DWLLW
How this prediction was made · Public accuracy record
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