Serie A, Giuseppe Sinigaglia. 2 - 1 full time.
Como 2-1 Parma in the Serie A: Como won. 3 goals, so Over 2.5. Both teams scored. ScooreCast published Home win at 1.22 before kick-off; that tip won. Across 810 archived Serie A matches the average is 2.5 goals a game, 47.4% finish with three or more, and the home side wins 39.6% of the time. The model gives Como a 73% chance. Home sides in Serie A win 39.6% of archived matches.
Pick: Home win at 1.22, confidence 5/5.
Expected goals 1.77 - 0.62 from the fitted Serie A model. Board pick home win at 73%. Goals lean Over 2.5.
Closing prices, as published before kick-off from DraftKings, with the bookmaker margin removed so the percentages are a fair implied probability.
Indicative prices for comparison, not an offer to bet. ScooreCast is not affiliated with any bookmaker and takes no wagers.
Full Como vs Parma head-to-head record
Como fixtures and predictions — form LWWWW
Parma fixtures and predictions — form WLDLL
How this prediction was made · Public accuracy record
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