Brasileirão, Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo. Kick-off Sun 11 Oct, 00:00 UTC.
São Paulo vs Vitória (Brasileirão). Form: São Paulo DLWDL, Vitória DLDWL. The model leans São Paulo at 52-28-20 with Under 2.5 and BTTS No. Confidence 4/5. This is a probability, not a guarantee. Across 925 archived Brasileirão matches the average is 2.5 goals a game, 48% finish with three or more, and the home side wins 48.3% of the time. The model gives São Paulo a 52% chance. Home sides in Brasileirão win 48.3% of archived matches.
Pick: Home win at 1.92, confidence 4/5.
Expected goals 1.44 - 0.77 from the fitted Brasileirão model. Board pick home win at 52%. Goals lean Under 2.5.
Latest published prices from DraftKings, with the bookmaker margin removed so the percentages are a fair implied probability.
Indicative prices for comparison, not an offer to bet. ScooreCast is not affiliated with any bookmaker and takes no wagers.
Full São Paulo vs Vitória head-to-head record
São Paulo fixtures and predictions — form DLWDL
Vitória fixtures and predictions — form DLDWL
How this prediction was made · Public accuracy record
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