Brasileirão, Allianz Parque. Kick-off Fri 9 Oct, 00:30 UTC.
Palmeiras vs Bahia (Brasileirão). Form: Palmeiras DLWWD, Bahia LWWWW. The model leans Palmeiras at 62-22-17 with Over 2.5 and BTTS No. Confidence 4/5. This is a probability, not a guarantee. Across 919 archived Brasileirão matches the average is 2.5 goals a game, 48% finish with three or more, and the home side wins 48.3% of the time. The model gives Palmeiras a 62% chance. Home sides in Brasileirão win 48.3% of archived matches.
Pick: Home win at 1.53, confidence 4/5.
Expected goals 1.96 - 0.73 from the fitted Brasileirão model. Board pick home win at 62%. Goals lean Over 2.5.
Latest published prices from DraftKings, with the bookmaker margin removed so the percentages are a fair implied probability.
Indicative prices for comparison, not an offer to bet. ScooreCast is not affiliated with any bookmaker and takes no wagers.
Full Palmeiras vs Bahia head-to-head record
Palmeiras fixtures and predictions — form DLWWD
Bahia fixtures and predictions — form LWWWW
How this prediction was made · Public accuracy record
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