Brasileirão, Joao Havelange Stadium. 3 - 2 full time.
Botafogo 3-2 Grêmio in the Brasileirão: Botafogo won. 5 goals, so Over 2.5. Both teams scored. ScooreCast published Home win at 1.73 before kick-off; that tip won. Across 919 archived Brasileirão matches the average is 2.5 goals a game, 48% finish with three or more, and the home side wins 48.3% of the time. The model gives Botafogo a 58% chance. Home sides in Brasileirão win 48.3% of archived matches.
Pick: Home win at 1.73, confidence 4/5.
Expected goals 1.88 - 0.98 from the fitted Brasileirão model. Board pick home win at 58%. Goals lean Over 2.5, both teams to score.
Closing prices, as published before kick-off from DraftKings, with the bookmaker margin removed so the percentages are a fair implied probability.
Indicative prices for comparison, not an offer to bet. ScooreCast is not affiliated with any bookmaker and takes no wagers.
Full Botafogo vs Grêmio head-to-head record
Botafogo fixtures and predictions — form DLWDD
Grêmio fixtures and predictions — form DDLLL
How this prediction was made · Public accuracy record
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